Prediction Markets — EGC Intelligence

Last ingested: 2026-03-31 23:00 11696 snapshots stored

⚡ Energy 📊 Macro 🌍 Geopolitics 🪙 Commodities ⚖️ Legal/Reg 🗳️ Politics … Other Reset

Question	Relevance	Volume	Yes Prob	Closes	Δ Prob / Vol
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? ⚡ energy	100	$100K	95%	2026-05-01	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 — — — vol ~0 — — —
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? 🌍 geopolitics	100	$100K	13%	2026-04-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 +8.6 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$2k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April? ⚡ energy	100	$100K	99%	2026-05-01	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 — — vol ~0 ~0 — —
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? ⚡ energy	100	$99K	24%	2026-05-01	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? 🌍 geopolitics	100	$99K	100%	2026-03-23	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3? 🌍 geopolitics	100	$10K	1%	2026-04-03	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 +0.5 +0.5 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? ⚡ energy	100	$10K	3%	2026-05-01	Populating… refresh in 1h
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? 🌍 geopolitics	100	$10K	4%	2026-04-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? 🌍 geopolitics	100	$9K	9%	2026-04-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 — — vol ~0 ~0 — —
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? ⚡ energy	85	$9.5M	0%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol +$8k +$12k +$38k —
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? ⚡ energy	85	$997K	1%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? ⚡ energy	85	$996K	0%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? ⚡ energy	85	$95K	76%	2026-06-30	1h3h6h24h pp +0.5 +2.5 — — vol ~0 ~0 — —
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? ⚡ energy	85	$10K	73%	2026-06-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? ⚡ energy	85	$10K	55%	2026-06-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 +1.5 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30? 🌍 geopolitics	85	$9K	26%	2026-04-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs … other	55	$99K	2%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026? … other	55	$96K	1%	2026-05-16	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$834
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31? … other	55	$96K	44%	2026-12-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 -0.5 -1.0 +6.0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$1k
Copa Colsanitas: Selena Janicijevic vs Julia Riera … other	55	$95K	44%	2026-04-06	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 Winner … other	55	$94K	24%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Liberia vs. Libya: O/U 2.5 … other	55	$10K	100%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? … other	55	$10K	0%	2026-05-16	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026? … other	55	$10K	0%	2026-05-16	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? 🗳️ politics	55	$10K	94%	2026-06-16	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 -0.5 -0.5 -0.5 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq? 🌍 geopolitics	55	$10K	1%	2026-06-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on March 31? … other	55	$10K	0%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Credit One Charleston Open: Shuai Zhang vs Yulia Starodubtseva … other	55	$10K	42%	2026-04-06	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will Liberia vs. Libya end in a draw? … other	55	$10K	72%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa … other	55	$9K	100%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 — — vol ~0 ~0 — —
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? 📊 macro	35	$992K	1%	2026-12-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 +$2k +$5k +$13k
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? 🌍 geopolitics	35	$978K	14%	2026-04-15	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? 🌍 geopolitics	35	$937K	72%	2026-06-30	Populating… refresh in 1h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? 📊 macro	30	$9.6M	1%	2026-04-29	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 +$5k +$13k +$312k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? 📊 macro	30	$969K	4%	2026-06-17	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 -0.6 -1.6 vol +$3k +$5k +$8k +$33k
Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election? 🗳️ politics	30	$98K	4%	2026-02-15	1h3h6h24h pp +1.0 +1.0 +0.9 +1.0 vol +$2k +$2k +$2k +$2k
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31? 🌍 geopolitics	30	$98K	0%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will Iran strike Yemen in March? 🌍 geopolitics	30	$97K	0%	2026-03-07	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$1k
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? 🌍 geopolitics	30	$97K	39%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 +0.5 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$3k
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? 🌍 geopolitics	30	$94K	18%	2026-04-30	1h3h6h24h pp +0.5 — — — vol +$578 — — —
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 31, 2026? 🌍 geopolitics	30	$10K	82%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country? 🌍 geopolitics	30	$10K	0%	2026-06-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 15, 2026? 🌍 geopolitics	30	$10K	18%	2026-04-15	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30? 🌍 geopolitics 🗳️ politics	30	$10K	14%	2026-04-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 — — — vol ~0 — — —
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? 🌍 geopolitics	30	$10K	68%	2026-04-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will Trump post "Ceasefire" on Truth Social this week? 🌍 geopolitics 🗳️ politics	30	$10K	38%	2026-04-05	1h3h6h24h pp -0.5 +6.0 -1.5 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026? 🌍 geopolitics	30	$9K	31%	2026-04-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision? 📊 macro 🌍 geopolitics	30	$9K	83%	2026-05-25	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 +1.0 +1.5 +6.0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 🗳️ politics	25	$10.0M	2%	2028-11-07	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol +$29k +$60k +$100k +$351k
US forces enter Iran by April 30? 🌍 geopolitics	25	$9.8M	68%	2026-04-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$49k
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 🗳️ politics	25	$9.5M	3%	2028-11-07	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol +$660 +$987 +$4k +$45k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 🗳️ politics	25	$9.4M	18%	2028-11-07	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol +$5k +$20k +$91k —
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election 🗳️ politics	25	$1000K	0%	2026-06-03	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? 🗳️ politics	25	$1000K	68%	2026-04-12	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? 🗳️ politics	25	$1000K	0%	2027-04-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March? 🪙 commodities	25	$997K	0%	2026-04-01	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 +$9k +$9k +$16k
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? 🗳️ politics	25	$997K	0%	2027-04-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$21k
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? 📊 macro	25	$995K	0%	2026-05-14	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 +$1k +$6k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? 🌍 geopolitics	25	$995K	56%	2026-12-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 +5.8 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$30k
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? 🌍 geopolitics	25	$990K	0%	—	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 +$16k +$23k
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? … other	25	$988K	4%	2026-06-03	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? 🗳️ politics	25	$985K	0%	2026-06-21	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$31k
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March? 🪙 commodities	25	$981K	0%	2026-04-01	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will UK strike Iran by March 31? 🌍 geopolitics	25	$971K	0%	—	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 -0.5 vol +$867 +$1k +$8k +$20k
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? 🗳️ politics	25	$969K	0%	2027-04-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 +$1k +$4k +$7k
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election 🗳️ politics	25	$962K	0%	2026-06-03	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? 🌍 geopolitics	25	$960K	1%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 -0.8 vol ~0 ~0 +$854 +$7k
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? 🗳️ politics	25	$960K	3%	2027-04-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol +$852 +$2k +$5k +$13k
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? 🌍 geopolitics	25	$960K	6%	2026-06-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 -1.0 vol ~0 +$572 +$574 +$17k
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? 🗳️ politics	25	$954K	7%	2026-10-04	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 -0.7 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
US recession by end of 2026? 📊 macro	25	$954K	36%	2027-01-31	1h3h6h24h pp +1.0 ~0 -0.5 — vol +$7k +$8k +$11k —
Iran leadership change by December 31? 🌍 geopolitics	25	$944K	36%	2026-12-31	1h3h6h24h pp -1.0 — — — vol +$3k — — —
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 31? 🪙 commodities	25	$100K	0%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? … other	25	$100K	26%	2026-06-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 +0.8 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? 🌍 geopolitics	25	$100K	12%	2026-06-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026? 🌍 geopolitics	25	$100K	82%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 +0.5 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$1k
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3PM ET 🪙 commodities	25	$100K	0%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 — — — vol ~0 — — —
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? 🌍 geopolitics	25	$100K	0%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$4k
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5? 🪙 commodities	25	$100K	14%	2026-04-06	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 1? 🪙 commodities	25	$100K	100%	2026-04-01	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? 🌍 geopolitics	25	$100K	4%	2025-12-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$1k
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 31? 🪙 commodities	25	$100K	72%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 1? 🪙 commodities	25	$100K	84%	2026-04-01	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 — — vol ~0 ~0 — —
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante … other	25	$100K	0%	2026-04-06	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31? 📊 macro	25	$100K	96%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 31? 🪙 commodities	25	$100K	20%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$5k
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? … other	25	$100K	1%	2026-12-09	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4AM ET 🪙 commodities	25	$100K	0%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET 🪙 commodities	25	$99K	100%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? 🌍 geopolitics	25	$99K	54%	2026-06-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 -2.0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$5k
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 31? 🪙 commodities	25	$99K	0%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 31? 🪙 commodities	25	$99K	50%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March? 📊 macro	25	$99K	0%	2026-04-10	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 31? 🪙 commodities	25	$99K	3%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5? 🪙 commodities	25	$99K	5%	2026-04-06	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 +2.0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 +$2k
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 31? 🪙 commodities	25	$99K	100%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0 vol ~0 ~0 ~0 ~0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5PM ET 🪙 commodities	25	$99K	42%	2026-03-31	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 — — — vol ~0 — — —
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6PM ET 🪙 commodities	25	$99K	0%	2026-03-30	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? 🗳️ politics	25	$99K	0%	2026-11-03	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 ~0 — vol ~0 ~0 ~0 —
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? 🗳️ politics	25	$99K	0%	2026-10-04	1h3h6h24h pp ~0 ~0 — — vol ~0 ~0 — —